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US forces enter Iran by..?

December 3170%April 3056%March 31<1%March 70%January 31?0%March 30%March 140%February 280%March 10%
$98.2M vol9 markets
December 3170%
April 3056%

Politics

Netanyahu out by...?

December 3140%June 307%April 302%March 31<1%
$112.2M vol4 markets

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

December 3173%June 3061%May 3152%April 3035%April 1514%April 75%March 150%March 310%March 60%March 20%
$79.7M vol10 markets

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom25%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8%Jon Ossoff6%Kamala Harris4%Josh Shapiro4%Pete Buttigieg4%Andy Beshear3%James Talarico3%J.B. Pritzker2%Jon Stewart2%Mark Kelly2%Ro Khanna2%Gretchen Whitmer1%Ruben Gallego1%Wes Moore1%Michelle Obama1%Stephen A. Smith1%Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%Mark Cuban1%Oprah Winfrey1%Cory Booker1%Rahm Emanuel1%John Fetterman1%Chelsea Clinton<1%Zohran Mamdani<1%Chris Murphy<1%Roy Cooper<1%LeBron James<1%Jared Polis<1%Hillary Clinton<1%Andrew Yang<1%George Clooney<1%Liz Cheney<1%MrBeast<1%Barack Obama<1%Phil Murphy<1%Raphael Warnock<1%Kim Kardashian<1%Hunter Biden<1%Gina Raimondo<1%Tim Walz<1%Jasmine Crockett<1%Beto O’Rourke<1%Bernie Sanders<1%
$961.9M vol44 markets

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance37%Marco Rubio21%Tucker Carlson4%Ron DeSantis3%Donald Trump2%Glenn Youngkin2%Thomas Massie2%Donald Trump Jr.2%Rand Paul1%Vivek Ramaswamy1%Ivanka Trump1%Elon Musk1%Ted Cruz1%Tulsi Gabbard1%Greg Abbott1%Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%Nikki Haley<1%Brian Kemp<1%Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%Matt Gaetz<1%Eric Trump<1%Sarah Huckabee Sanders<1%Tom Brady<1%Katie Britt<1%Joe Kent<1%Steve Bannon<1%Josh Hawley<1%Kristi Noem<1%Elise Stefanik<1%John Thune<1%Kim Kardashian<1%Pete Hegseth<1%Erika Kirk<1%Byron Donalds<1%Mike Pence<1%
$506.1M vol35 markets

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

4%
Yes
$18.0M vol1 market

Fed decision in April?

No change98%25 bps decrease<1%25+ bps increase<1%50+ bps decrease<1%
$44.4M vol4 markets

Sports

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Spain16%France13%England12%Argentina9%Brazil9%Portugal7%Germany5%Netherlands3%Norway3%Belgium2%Japan2%Colombia2%Morocco2%USA2%Uruguay1%Croatia1%Switzerland1%Mexico1%Ecuador<1%Senegal<1%Sweden<1%Turkiye<1%Canada<1%Austria<1%Ivory Coast<1%Paraguay<1%South Korea<1%Egypt<1%Bosnia-Herzegovina<1%Algeria<1%Cezchia<1%Scotland<1%Australia<1%Tunisia<1%Saudi Arabia<1%Ghana<1%Congo DR<1%Cape Verde<1%South Africa<1%Qatar<1%Panama<1%Haiti<1%Jordan<1%Iran<1%New Zealand<1%Uzbekistan<1%Curaçao<1%Iraq<1%Peru0%Italy0%
$461.7M vol50 markets

NBA

NBA MVP

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander78%Victor Wembanyama17%Luka Doncic5%Nikola Jokic2%Jaylen Brown<1%Anthony Davis<1%Joel Embiid<1%Ja Morant<1%Anthony Edwards<1%Trae Young<1%Giannis Antetokounmpo<1%Stephen Curry<1%Cade Cunningham<1%Kevin Durant<1%Donovan Mitchell<1%Devin Booker<1%Cooper Flagg<1%Kawhi Leonard<1%Tyrese Maxey<1%Jalen Brunson<1%Paolo Banchero<1%LeBron James<1%
$68.4M vol22 markets

NBA Rebounds Per Game Leader

Nikola Jokic98%Karl-Anthony Towns<1%Rudy Gobert<1%Kel'el Ware<1%Domantas Sabonis<1%Donovan Clingan<1%Victor Wembanyama<1%Josh Giddey<1%Nikola Vucevic<1%Chet Holmgren<1%Walker Kessler<1%Alperen Sengun<1%Isaiah Hartenstein<1%Mitchell Robinson<1%Jalen Johnson<1%Jalen Duren<1%Onyeka Okongwu<1%Yves Missi<1%Bam Adebayo<1%Jarrett Allen<1%Giannis Antetokounmpo<1%Dereck Lively<1%Ivica Zubac<1%Moussa Diabate<1%Anthony Davis<1%Jakob Poeltl<1%Evan Mobley<1%LeBron James<1%Nic Claxton<1%Amen Thompson<1%Josh Hart<1%Luka Doncic<1%Deandre Ayton<1%Zach Edey<1%Neemias Queta<1%Mark Williams<1%Joel Embiid<1%
$1.1M vol37 markets

NBA Rookie of the Year

Kon Knueppel73%Cooper Flagg27%V.J. Edgecombe<1%Jeremiah Fears<1%Derik Queen<1%Tre Johnson<1%Walter Clayton Jr.<1%Dylan Harper<1%Khaman Maluach<1%Collin Murray-Boyles<1%Cedric Coward<1%Ace Bailey<1%Jase Richardson<1%
$2.3M vol13 markets

Crypto

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↑ 90,000100%↓ 85,000100%↓ 75,000100%↓ 60,000100%↓ 65,000100%↑ 75,000100%↑ 70,000100%↓ 55,00074%↑ 80,00062%↓ 50,00061%↓ 45,00049%↑ 90,00039%↓ 40,00036%↑ 100,00030%↓ 35,00027%↑ 110,00019%↓ 30,00017%↑ 120,00016%↑ 130,00014%↓ 25,00012%↑ 140,00011%↓ 20,00010%↑ 150,00010%↑ 160,0008%↓ 15,0007%↑ 180,0007%↑ 170,0007%↑ 200,0006%↑ 190,0006%↓ 10,0005%↑ 250,0004%↓ 5,0004%↑ 500,0002%↑ 1,000,0002%
$28.8M vol34 markets

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

8%
Yes
$2.2M vol1 market

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

>$600M53%>$800M42%>$1B30%>$1.5B13%>$2B10%>$3B6%>$4B3%>$6B2%
$14.4M vol8 markets

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$50M94%$100M83%$200M63%$300M46%$400M35%$500M26%$600M21%$800M17%$1B13%$1.5B8%$2B5%
$3.1M vol11 markets

Tech

Largest Company end of April?

NVIDIA96%Apple3%Alphabet<1%Saudi Aramco<1%Amazon<1%Microsoft<1%Tesla<1%
$1.3M vol7 markets

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

Anthropic93%Google4%OpenAI2%xAI<1%DeepSeek<1%Meituan<1%Baidu<1%Moonshot<1%Z.ai<1%Alibaba<1%Amazon<1%Mistral<1%ByteDance<1%
$2.9M vol13 markets

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

$X47%Other46%$STAR3%$SPAX2%$SEX2%$SPACE<1%$SX<1%$MARS<1%$SPC<1%
$4.2M vol9 markets

Claude 5 released by…?

June 30, 202656%May 31, 202645%April 30, 202634%March 31, 20260%February 60%December 31, 20250%February 28, 20260%March 15, 20260%February 14, 20260%
$3.0M vol9 markets

Largest Company end of June?

NVIDIA80%Apple11%Alphabet8%Saudi Aramco<1%Microsoft<1%Amazon<1%Tesla<1%
$3.7M vol7 markets

Culture

F1 Drivers' Champion

George Russell47%Kimi Antonelli32%Charles Leclerc5%Oscar Piastri4%Lewis Hamilton2%Max Verstappen2%Lando Norris2%Lance Stroll<1%Fernando Alonso<1%Nico Hülkenberg<1%Gabriel Bortoleto<1%Esteban Ocon<1%Sergio Pérez<1%Liam Lawson<1%Carlos Sainz Jr.<1%Alexander Albon<1%Valtteri Bottas<1%Franco Colapinto<1%Isack Hadjar<1%Pierre Gasly<1%Oliver Bearman<1%Arvid Lindblad<1%
$73.8M vol22 markets

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Péter Magyar65%Viktor Orbán36%László Toroczkai<1%István Kapitány<1%János Lázár<1%Klára Dobrev<1%
$43.5M vol6 markets

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

December 3188%June 3070%May 1549%April 3033%April 1510%April 72%March 31<1%March 70%March 150%
$11.6M vol9 markets

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland36%France14%Denmark11%Australia7%Greece6%Israel4%Sweden3%Ukraine2%Italy2%Romania2%Czechia1%Malta1%Cyprus1%Bulgaria<1%United Kingdom<1%Germany<1%Switzerland<1%Croatia<1%Norway<1%Belgium<1%Luxembourg<1%Moldova<1%San Marino<1%Georgia<1%Poland<1%Austria<1%Armenia<1%Latvia<1%Serbia<1%Estonia<1%Lithuania<1%Montenegro<1%Albania<1%Azerbaijan<1%Portugal<1%
$55.9M vol35 markets

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

June 3080%April 3046%April 1516%April 74%March 70%March 150%March 310%March 20%March 10%
$10.7M vol9 markets